I had initially intended this post to focus on House Lannister. Then, I thought about it some more and realized that I basically already covered Tyrion, and there was no point on spending a whole post on two characters. Instead I’ll just wrap up this series, book-ended below with the Lannister twins. Here’s a Lannister sigil before we get into spoilers:
The show has taken Jaime’s story so far from the books that it’s easy todeclare that none of his story from the show past Season 4 will be in the books at all. Some elements will probably be in the books, but only as elements, not as full plot threads. For example, Myrcella is a goner, but Jaime is so far from Dorne right now in the books that he won’t have much to do with that plot.
Does Jaime survive his encounter with Lady Stoneheart? It seems that he probably will. Having Stoneheart kill Jaime would be like if the show killed him during the dragon battle this season. It would make some sense, but there just seems to be more for the character to do. That’s about the only clue we have from the show.
Maybe Arya kills Lord Walder, maybe Lady Stoneheart will. One way or another the Freys are toast.
The Brotherhood without Banners
Whatever role Beric will play on the show going forward will probably be played by Lady Stoneheart in the books. Otherwise, Gendry never fell out with the Brotherhood and Thoros is still there. I could also see the Hound meeting up with them at some point (if he hasn’t already).
Brienne of Tarth
Brienne and Jaime are similar in that the show has moved their characters so far from their book counterparts that it becomes impossible to predict where they go from here. It seems possible she might survive her Lady Stoneheart encounter because she’s still alive on the show, but when was the last time she actually did much of anything of importance on the show?
Doran won’t go down so easily in the books, but he will probably go down. His behind the scenes manipulation keeps failing. Additionally, he’s about to throw his lot in with the Mummer’s Dragon – fake Aegon.
George R.R. Martin has indicated that Loras’ two older brothers, who were written out of the show, have a big role to play in the books. This would take the Tyrell story in a completely different direction.
The show skipped over Sam’s long travelogue, but in the end, he got to the same destination where he’ll probably end up at in the books: Winterfell by way of Oldtown. I don’t see much evidence for any big differences here.
Euron is a big, scary bad guy in the books already, but the show has pretty much given him Victarion’s storyline. The show hasn’t provided us with much evidence for how either of those stories will play out in the books. Theon and Yara/Asha are captives of Stannis at the moment too, which would be a radical starting point for any of their show adventures since last season.
Speaking of Stannis, he’s still very much alive in the books. Ramsey probably defeats him after a time. Beyond that, it’s hard to say what else happens since show Stannis didn’t bring his family with him to attack Winterfell.
Finally, we have the other big Lannister character still on the board. While some of the circumstances may be different, Cersei is in the same spot in the books currently that she was at the end of season 5. Here’s where she goes from here, I think, with one of my bolder predictions.
First, Margaery wins her trial. Sometime after that, Cersei convinces Tommen to pledge fealty to fake Aegon. This sets up a coronation scene in the Sept of Baelor where Margaery and MaceTyrell, two of the three Sand Snakes, the High Sparrow, Fake Aegon, and Arianne Martell are all in the same room. But wait, where are Cersei and Tommen? That’s when the Sept blows up. This will be Arianne Martell and/or Jon Connington’s last point of view chapter.
Myrcella and Tommen may die in similar ways that they do on the show, but I think the, “Cersei blows up the Sept and steals the Iron Throne” story plays out more or less the same. The next question is how Cersei reacts to Daenerys and Jon, and there’s no evidence so far that it’s too far from the books right now.
Anyway those are my Winds of Winter/Dream of Spring predictions based on where we are on the show.
(c) 2017 D.G. McCabe